In an article from my Lender friend Leah Marchbanks;
The general consensus is that rates will be moving up and there will no extension of the tax credit…..
In economic report headlines, Durable Goods Orders for March
fell by 1.3%, well below the 0.1% increase expected. The drop
was attributed to a decline in aircraft orders, and when stripping
out transportation, new orders rose by 2.8%, far better than
expectations of 0.7%, representing the fastest growth rate since
December of 2007. Durable Goods Orders are volatile reports
month to month, so we can't read too much into one report…
and we also must consider that these numbers are coming off
of very low levels, so it is easier to see sharp increases.
Mortgage Bonds remained lower on this news.
New Home Sales for March were reported this morning, and
very clearly, the First Time Home Buyer stimulus pushed
buyers into action. 411,000 New Homes were sold, which was
a huge increase from last month's upwardly revised 324,000
reading. The pace of sales also spiked, thus pushing the
inventory of unsold new homes down to a 6.7 month level, far
below February's 9.2 month reading. Weather also likely
played a big part in this improved number as we saw plenty of
snowstorms throughout the country in February, helping the
pent up demand be seen in March’s numbers. It will be
interesting to see how future numbers fare once the
government stimulus – the Tax Credit which expires next week
is removed.
Yesterday, the Treasury announced it will unload a whopping
$129B of debt next week in 2, 5 and 7 -year Notes. This supply
could be a headwind for Bonds next week, forcing mortgage rates
higher.
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